Exclusive survey: Previewing Michigan's ballot proposals

WDIV Local 4, Detroit News commission latest survey of Michigan voters 1 week before November election

Published On: Oct 31 2012 10:54:08 PM EDT   Updated On: Oct 31 2012 10:57:36 PM EDT
DETROIT -

Ahead of the Nov. 6 general election, The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted a 600-sample survey of likely 2012 Michigan General Election voters. The live operator telephone survey was conducted from October 27-29, 2012. (Saturday afternoon through Monday).

-- 80% of the survey respondents were contacted via land-line. 

-- 20% of survey respondents were contacted via cellphone. 

The survey has a margin of error of +/-4.0% with a 95% level of confidence. 

This survey was commissioned by WDIV Local 4 and the Detroit News.

Respondents were asked each of the following questions. The corresponding survey results are shown below.

Michigan voters will vote on Proposal 1 --  a Referendum on Public Act 4 of 2011 --  The Emergency Manager Law.   Public Act 4 would establish criteria to assess the financial condition of local government units, including school districts.  Authorize the Governor to appoint an emergency manager upon state finding of a financial emergency, and allow the emergency manager to act in place of local government officials.  Require the Emergency manager to develop financial and operating plans which may include modification or termination of contracts, reorganization of government, and determination of expenditures, services and use of assets until the emergency is resolved.  Alternatively, authorize state appointed review team to enter into a local government approved consent decree.  Should this law be approved? 

prop1

A closer look:

Yes                  No              Don’t Know

North               34.6%              46.2%            19.2%

West                43.3%             35.8%            20.9%

Southwest       50.0%              38.0%             12.0%

Mid                 32.7%              44.2%             21.2%

E Central         38.3%              44.7%             17.0% 

Oakland          54.4%              29.1%             16.5% 

Macomb          56.0%              32.0%             12.0%

Wayne             54.3%              38.6%              7.1%

Detroit             35.0%              57.5%              7.5%

Proposal 2 would amend the state constitution regarding collective bargaining.  This proposal would grant public and private employees the constitutional right to organize and bargain collectively through labor unions, invalidate existing or future state or local laws that limit the ability to join unions and bargain collectively, and negotiate and enforce collective bargaining agreements, including employees’ financial support of their labor unions.  Laws may be enacted to prohibit public employees from striking.  Override state laws that regulate hours and conditions of employment to the extent that those laws conflict with collective bargaining agreements.  Define “employer” as a person or entity employing one or more employees.   Should this proposal be approved?

prop2

A closer look:

Yes                  No                Don’t Know

North              34.6%              46.2%              19.2%

West               43.3%              35.8%              20.9%

Southwest       50.0%              38.0%              12.0%

Mid                 32.7%              44.2%              21.2%

E Central         38.3%              44.7%              17.0% 

Oakland          54.4%              29.1%              16.5% 

Macomb         56.0%              32.0%              12.0%

Wayne            54.3%              38.6%              7.1%

Detroit            35.0%              57.5%              7.5%

Proposal 3 would amend the state constitution to establish a minimum standard for renewable energy.  This proposal would require utilities to provide at least 25% of their annual retail sales of electricity from renewable energy sources, including wind, solar, biomass and hydropower by 2025.  Limit to not more than 1% per year electric utility rate increases charged to consumers only to achieve compliance with the renewable energy standard.  Allow annual extensions of the deadline to meet the 25% standard in order to prevent rate increases over the 1% limit.  Require the legislature to enact additional laws to encourage the use of Michigan made equipment and employment of Michigan residents.  Should this proposal be approved?

prop3

A closer look:

Yes                  No                 Don’t Know

North              34.6%             46.2%             19.2%

West               43.3%             35.8%             20.9%

Southwest       50.0%             38.0%             12.0%

Mid                 32.7%             44.2%             21.2%

E Central         38.3%              44.7%             17.0% 

Oakland          54.4%             29.1%              16.5% 

Macomb          56.0%             32.0%             12.0%

Wayne             54.3%             38.6%              7.1%

Detroit             35.0%             57.5%              7.5%

Proposal 4 would amend the state constitution to establish the Michigan Quality Home Care Council and provide collective bargaining for in-home care workers.  This proposal would allow in home care workers to bargain collectively with the Michigan Quality Home Care Council.  Continue the current exclusive representative of in-home care workers until modified in accordance with labor laws.  Require the Michigan Quality Home Care Council to provide training for in home care workers, create a registry of workers who pass background checks, and provide financial services to patients to manage the cost of in home care.  Preserve patients rights to hire in home care workers who are not referred by the council registry who are bargaining unit members.  Authorize the council to set minimum compensation standards and terms and conditions of employment.    Should this proposal be approved?

prop4

A closer look:

             Yes                  No                 Don’t Know

North              30.8%              56.4%             12.8%

West               43.3%              46.3%             10.4%

Southwest       30.0%              56.0%              14.0%

Mid                 32.7%             46.2%  `           19.2%

E Central         38.3%              48.9%              12.8% 

Oakland          35.4%              46.8%              17.7% 

Macomb         40.0%              54.0%               6.0%   

Wayne            42.9%              51.4%              5.7%

Detroit             72.5%             17.5%              10.0%

Proposal 5 would amend the state constitution to limit the enactment of new taxes by state government.  It would require a 2/3 majority vote of the State House and the State Senate, or a statewide vote of the people at a November election in order for the State of Michigan to impose new or additional taxes or expand the base of taxation or increasing the rate of taxation.  This section shall in no way be construed to limit or modify tax limitations otherwise created in this Constitution.  Should this proposal be approved?

prop5

A closer look:

            Yes                  No                Don’t Know

North               30.8%              56.4%              12.8%

West                43.3%              46.3%              10.4%

Southwest       30.0%              56.0%              14.0%

Mid                 32.7%              46.2%  `           19.2%

E Central         38.3%              48.9%              12.8% 

Oakland          35.4%              46.8%              17.7% 

Macomb         40.0%              54.0%               6.0%   

Wayne            42.9%              51.4%               5.7%

Detroit            72.5%             17.5%              10.0%

Proposal 6 would amend the state constitution regarding construction of international bridges and tunnels.   This proposal would require the approval of a majority of voters at a statewide election and in each municipality where ‘new international bridges or tunnels for motor vehicles' are to be located before the State of Michigan may expend state funds or resources for acquiring land, designing, soliciting bids for, constructing, financing, or promoting new international bridges or tunnels.  Create a definition of  New international bridges or tunnels for motor vehicles' that means 'any bridge or tunnel which is not open to the public and serving traffic as of January 1, 2012.'  Should this proposal be approved?

prop6

A closer look:

Yes                  No              Don’t Know

North              32.1%              55.1%              12.8%

West               28.4%              58.2%              13.4%

Southwest       34.0%              62.0%              4.0%

Mid                30.8%              53.8%              13.5% 

E Central         38.3%              51.1%              10.6%

Oakland          40.5%              44.3%              15.2%

Macomb         32.0%              52.0%              16.0% 

Wayne            42.9%              52.9%              4.3%

Detroit             52.5%             42.5%              5.0%

Voters will also select Justice for the Michigan Supreme Court.  In the first race, voters will select two justices from a list of seven candidates.  I am going to read you that list.  Please tell me which candidate would be your first choice.

1.  Doug Dern                                                                                         

2. Connie Marie Kelley

3. Stephen Markman, (I)

4. Bridget Mary McCormack

5. Kerry L Morgan

6. Colleen O’Brien

7. Bob Roddis

Who would be your second choice? 

1. Doug Dern 1.7%   

2.     Connie Marie Kelley      20.0%

3.     Stephen Markman, (I)      17.0%

4.     Bridget Mary McCormack   19.8%

5.     Kerry L Morgan                  1.2%

6.     Colleen O’Brien                   17.0%

7. Bob Roddis     1.5%