According to the results of a political survey commissioned by the Detroit News and WDIV Local 4, Michigan is a three-point race with President Obama in the lead.
Obama has less than 50 percent of the vote in Michigan which is an uncomfortable position for any incumbent. The President's support in this state has remained consistent. It's Republican candidate Mitt Romney's gains in Michigan which are significant.
View: Exclusive survey results
According to the survey, 47.7 percent of respondents said they would vote for President Obama while 45 percent said they would vote for Romney. One must look at the breakdown to determine where voters are in this state.
Romney has a 6-point lead among male voters. That's a gain for the Republican candidate.
"This is all about turnout," said pollster Richard Czuba. "If Democrats turn out their voters, they win. If Republicans turn out more, they win. It's a pretty simple equation, as difficult as campaigns are."Romney leads Oakland County by 8.9 percent and Macomb County by 16 percent. Obama is up by 15.7 percent in Wayne County. That number does not include the city of Detroit where Obama owns nearly all votes.
Debbie Stabenow has big lead in Michigan's US Senate race
According to the survey results, Democratic U.S. Senate incumbent Debbie Stabenow has 52.4 percent of the vote in Michigan to Republican Pete Hoekstra's 37.5 percent. Insiders say this is due to poor campaign management from Hoekstra's team.
"Well, I think the question is, is there really a Senate race on? Because the voters don't seem to be engaged in this race and Debbie Stabenow looks like she is moving toward a comfortable win on election night," said Czuba.