EXCLUSIVE: Presidential Primary survey

Survey commissioned by WDIV, the Detroit News

Michigan's Presidential Primary is scheduled for Feb. 28. Ahead of election day, The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted a 500-sample, live operator telephone survey of registered Michigan voters likely to vote in the state's Feb. 28 Republican Presidential Primary Election. The survey was conducted on February 11-13 and has a margin of error of +/-4.38% with a 95% level of confidence.  This survey was commissioned by the WDIV Local 4 and the Detroit News.

Here are the results:

The Auto Bailout:  A Non-Issue

 

We asked voters if they would be more or less likely to vote for a candidate who opposed giving government loans to the automobile industry.  25.4% of voters would be MORE likely to vote for that candidate while 20.2% of voters would be less likely to vote for that candidate. 50.8% of voters said it made no difference to them.

 

Michigan's Republican Senate Nomination:  Hoekstra Continues to Blow Away the Field

 

We asked voters who they would support in August in the Republican primary for the United Senate.  Pete Hoekstra continues to hold a massive lead on all of his competitors – none of whom get above 5% of the vote.

A majority of voters support Pete Hoekstra for Senator.

 

Candidate                                 Percentage

Pete Hoekstra                          50.2%

Clark Durant                            4.8%

Randy Heckman                       1.8%

Gary Glenn                               1.0%

Chuck Marino                          0.8%

Peter Konetchy                        0.6%

Undecided                                38.0%

Hoekstra wins 64.9% of the vote in Northern Michigan, 64.2% of the vote in West Michigan and 60.4% of the vote in Southwest Michigan.  When we look at just Republican voters Pete Hoekstra's margin rises to 56.3% with Clark Durant at 5.1%. 

 

Pete Hoekstra has 87.8% name identification among likely Presidential primary voters breaking 49.8% favorable to 17.6% unfavorable. 

Right Track/ Wrong Track

Republican voters are highly pessimistic about the direction of America, but very optimistic about the direction of Michigan.

By a margin of 9.6%-85.4%, Republican primary voters believe the nation is on the wrong track.  But by a margin of 54.8%-34.8%, Republican primary voters believe Michigan is on the right track.

The majority of voters think the United States is on the wrong track.
Most voters think Michigan is on the right track.

 

By a margin of 78.7%-12.2%, self identified Republicans have a favorable impression of Rick Snyder.  By a margin of 79.0%-12.3%, conservative voters have a favorable impression of Rick Snyder.

Q: Generally speaking would you say that the nation is on the right track or would you say things have gotten off on the wrong track?

                                   Right                Wrong

UP/North                     10.8%              85.1%

West                            8.6%                88.6%

Southwest                     6.3%                89.6%

Mid                              17.8%              71.1%

E Central                       2.1%                 93.6%

Oakland                        8.4%                 88.0%

Macomb                       15.0%              77.5%

Wayne                          8.0%                88.0%

Rem of MSA                 11.6%              81.4%

Conservative                 3.4%                93.3%             

Moderate                      6.3%                90.6%

Tea Party                      2.8%                94.9%

GOP                             4.3%                91.8%

DEM                             62.5%              29.2%

IND                             14.5%              78.2%

Definitely                      9.1%                87.3%

Probably                      10.9%              80.6%

Pro-Life                       5.5%                90.4%

Pro-Choice                  19.3%              74.1%

Union                           11.5%              83.8%

Non-Union                   8.6%                86.2%

                                    Right                Wrong

 

 

Weekly                        7.6%                88.6%

Semi Monthly               17.4%              78.3%

Monthly                        8.7%                87.0%

Semi Yearly                  10.5%              84.2%

Rarely                          6.9%                87.9%

None                            13.2%              73.7%

Male                            11.6%              82.0%

Female                         7.6%                88.8%

Q: Generally speaking would you say that Michigan is on the right track or would you say things have gotten off on the wrong track?

            Right                Wrong

UP/North                      50.0%              37.8%

West                            58.6%              35.7%

Southwest                    58.3%              31.3%

Mid                              55.6%              33.3%

E Central                      36.2%              48.9%

Oakland                       61.4%              31.3%

Macomb                      57.5%              32.5%

Wayne                         54.0%              32.0%

Rem of MSA                58.1%              30.2%

 

Conservative                56.2%              31.5%

Moderate                     59.4%              31.3%

Tea Party                     54.5%              34.2%

 

GOP                            57.4%              30.7%             

DEM                            41.7%              54.2%

IND                             50.0%              42.7%

 

Definitely                      58.2%              30.7%

Probably                      46.0%              45.3%

 

Pro-Life                       56.8%              32.2%

Pro-Choice                  51.1%              40.7%

 

Union                           48.6%              37.8%

Non-Union                   57.6%              33.2%

 

                                   

Weekly                        56.1%              33.2%

Semi Monthly               58.7%              34.8%

Monthly                        56.5%              34.8%

Semi Yearly                  47.4%              42.1%

Rarely                          50.0%              36.2%

None                            52.6%              42.1%

 

Male                            58.8%              30.4%

Female                         50.8%              39.2%