Much-needed soaking rains in the forecast

Remnants of ex-Hurricane Patricia headed our way


DETROIT – This past Saturday's rain helped, but it wasn't enough to significantly impact our rain deficit. However, the next batch of rain will help significantly as copious amounts of moisture over Texas that got a nice boost from the remnants of former Hurricane Patricia head this way ...

Tonight, though, will be a relatively quiet night with mostly clear skies, and lows in the low 40s (5° Celsius for our Canadian friends). East wind at 3 to 6 mph.

Increasing clouds on Tuesday (but I think you'll need the sunglasses at least for the morning drive to work), with highs again approaching 60° (16° Celsius). East wind at 10 to 15 mph.

Tuesday's sunrise is at 8:00 AM, and Tuesday's sunset is at 6:34 PM.

Rain arrives Tuesday night, and becomes heavy at times. Lows near 50° (10° Celsius).

Rain continues well into the day on Wednesday, and I think we'll easily total more than an inch of much-needed rain. It'll become windy, so get ready for some wind-whipped rain that your umbrella won't offer much protection from. Highs near 60° (16° Celsius).

Becoming very windy Wednesday night, with scattered showers possible. Lows in the mid 40s (6° Celsius).

Very windy on Thursday with scattered light rain and/or snow showers. Highs only struggling a few degrees above the morning lows ... probably only topping out around 50° (10° Celsius). Obviously, the very windy conditions will make it feel much colder.

Becoming partly cloudy Thursday night, but still breezy. Lows in the mid to upper 30s (3° Celsius).

Mostly sunny on Friday, with highs in the low 50s (11° Celsius).

Mostly clear to partly cloudy Friday night, with lows near 40° (4° Celsius).

POSSIBLE CHANGE TO THE HALLOWEEN FORECAST: for the past three days, my long range computer models have all kept Saturday and Saturday evening dry, with some rain possible on Sunday. Today's models, however, have suddenly sped up the weather pattern, and now give us a chance for some Saturday evening rain.

I don't like changing a forecast based upon sudden changes like this in the computer models ... sometimes the models are right, and sometimes they revert back to what they were originally telling us before the little "hiccup."

I have looked at over a dozen long range models this afternoon, and some hold off any rain until just after the prime Trick or Treating hours, while others bring in the rain earlier. I do not see any consensus at this point. So, at this point, all I can tell you is to stay with me this week…I'll keep you posted.

Perhaps you can start thinking about a rain plan and, hopefully, in a day or so I'll be able to get more confident with my forecast. Highs Saturday appear to be in the mid 50s (13° Celsius), with temps during Trick or Treating time in the upper 40s to near 50° (9° Celsius).

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