Let’s think back one year: a line of thunderstorms and tornadoes erupted mid-state and was heading our way. The threat was so ominous that the decision was made to move the Ford Fireworks up an hour, so as not to expose one million people outside in downtown Detroit to the approaching dangerous weather, and what a good decision THAT was.
Today, we have the opposite scenario: a hot day, followed by very comfortable evening temperatures, and no storms! Believe it or not, a cold front will cross our area late this afternoon and early evening, but there is so little moisture for the front to work with that, once again, no thunderstorms will erupt. I’ve lost count, but I think this is the fifth cold front this spring / early summer to barrel into a hot air mass, and not generate any (or many) storms. At worst, we’ll see some clouds behind the front, and some models suggest an isolated sprinkle on the eastside toward midnight. Temperatures this evening will fall through the 70s…absolutely spectacular…to an eventual low in the low 60s (that’s 16° Celsius for our Canadian friends across the river), but cooler in the northern suburbs. This afternoon’s breezy winds will subside overnight to a northwest wind at 4 to 8 mph. Sunset is at 9:14 PM.
Some of us will start our Tuesday partly cloudy, but skies will quickly become mostly cloudy through mid to late afternoon…perhaps we’ll get back to some sunshine by evening. Highs only in the low 70s (22° Celsius)…quite a drop from today! Northwest wind at 7 to 12 mph. Tuesday’s sunrise is at 6:00 AM, and Tuesday’s sunset is at 9:14 PM.
Becoming mostly clear Tuesday night, with lows in the low 50s (11° Celsius). By the way, Wednesday morning’s record low is 48° (9° Celsius) set in 1989.
Mostly sunny and warmer on Wednesday, with highs in the upper 70s (26° Celsius).
Mostly clear Wednesday night, with lows in the mid to upper 50s (13-14° Celsius).
Mostly sunny on Thursday, with highs near 80° (27° Celsius).
Becoming partly cloudy Thursday night, with a scattered light shower possible late at night. Lows in the low 60s (16° Celsius).
Scattered showers are possible Friday morning, then becoming partly cloudy during the afternoon. Highs near 80° (27° Celsius).
Mostly clear Friday night, with lows in the mid 50s (13° Celsius).
Mostly sunny to start on Saturday, then becoming partly cloudy by late morning. Highs in the upper 70s (26° Celsius).
Mostly clear Saturday night, with lows near 60° (15° Celsius).
Mostly sunny on Sunday, with highs in the low 80s (28° Celsius).
Right now, it appears that we’ll stay dry and warm for at least another two days, and possibly three. And that’s a big problem. I’ve already told you about our widening rainfall deficit. Through today, Metro Airport has received only 1.30 inches of total rain this month (the average through today is 3.19”), and remember that this follows a month of May in which we were over an inch below average. Many of us have only had a single day with any measurable rain since June 5th and, with no significant rain in my forecast for the next eight or nine days (at least), I think we’re headed from the “Abnormally Dry” category that we’re in right now toward the next category on the official scale: “Moderate Drought.” While many of you are complaining about your increasingly crunchy lawns, please think about our farmers…agriculture is an important part of Michigan’s economy (not to mention all of the yummy locally grown produce we enjoy all summer long). We’re going to be in some trouble if we don’t get any meaningful rain soon. Stay tuned…and do your rain dance.