DETROIT – Wednesday's beneficial rain dropped as much as one-half to one inch across parts of our area, with others receiving between one-tenth and one-half of an inch.
Cooler, more seasonable temperatures have moved into the area, and although we’ll be cooler than those warm temperatures we had earlier in the week, we’ll still average above normal for this time of year over the next week. Beyond that, I do see some changes. I’ll discuss those at the end of the article.
Thursday evening, an upper-level trough of low pressure will trigger a few light showers, or even just sprinkles. This is a transient feature and, once it passes by, we’ll be done with rain for quite a while. Lows will be in the low 40s, or 6 degrees Celsius for our Canadian neighbors. North-northwest winds will blow at 4 to 8 mph.
Friday might start with some highly variable cloud cover due to a strong temperature inversion about 5,000 feet above the surface. These inversions sometimes trap low-level moisture, which we’ll have due to Wednesday night’s rain making the ground moist. That will create a low deck of Stratus clouds. This could be a situation where some of us start completely sunny, which others have low, grey overcast skies.
If the inversion wins the battle, it appears to me that the best chance for any clouds would be across our North and West Zones, but they should gradually break up by lunchtime. Areas that start mostly sunny should stay mostly sunny the entire day. Highs will be in the mid-50s (13 degrees Celsius). Northwest winds will blow southwest by late afternoon, at 4 to 8 mph.
Friday’s sunrise is at 8:11 a.m. Since this weekend’s time change is late this year, we’ll have our latest sunrise in a long time Friday and Saturday. Friday’s sunset is at 6:23 p.m.
It will be mostly clear Friday night, with lows near 40 degrees (39 degrees Celsius).
It will be mostly sunny on Saturday, with highs near 60 degrees (16 degrees Celsius). Saturday night will be Mostly clear, with lows in the mid-40s (7 degrees Celsius). Don't forget to set your clocks back one hour before going to bed Saturday night, as Daylight Saving Time ends and we return to Standard Time. Enjoy the extra hour of sleep.
Sunday will be mostly sunny, with highs in the low 60s (17 degrees Celsius). It will be mostly clear Sunday night, with lows in the low 40s (5 degrees Celsius).
It will be mostly sunny on Monday, with highs near 60 degrees (16 degrees Celsius). Monday night will be mostly clear, with lows in the low 40s (6 degrees Celsius).
A weak cold front should cross our area on Election Day, but the models agree that this will be a moisture-starved front, which makes rain chances highly unlikely. Highs look reasonably comfortable -- near 60 degrees (16 degrees Celsius). I say there are no excuses for not exercising the privilege of voting. "No show, no gripe."
I took a look at the super-long-range ensemble model forecast charts Thursday afternoon, and they suggest a steady cooling trend the week after next (Nov. 14-19), with temperatures potentially cold enough for a few snowflakes by late that week. I am not forecasting snow, but it might be cold enough for some snowflakes -- there’s a big difference, because I cannot make a specific forecast two weeks in advance.
All three ensembles agree on the pattern change, so I suggest taking advantage of the relatively milder weather right now and getting those yard chores done -- like me.
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