Metro Detroit weather: Storm unfolding as expected, Winter weather advisories in effect

11 winter weather advisories active in 11 counties

DETROIT – A robust band of snow, followed by freezing rain, moved into southeast Michigan right on schedule.

Areas to the north have held onto the snow the longest, while areas to the south more quickly changed to freezing rain. Those of you south of a line roughly from Mt. Clemens to Canton to Ann Arbor to Adrian may see a changeover to just rain this evening, as your temperature inches a degree above that magic 32 degree (0 degrees Celsius) mark.

RELATED: Winter weather advisory in effect for Metro Detroit: What to know

As I discussed at length yesterday on Local 4 News, there will be an initial lightening up of the precipitation this evening, which is crucial in keeping our total ice accumulation below a quarter-inch. During that time, patches of drizzle south and freezing drizzle north will be the norm. Then, a late-evening resurgence of moisture will intensify the freezing rain once again, which will then change into an area of accumulating snow after about 11 p.m. That batch of snow could drop 1 to 3 inches in the north to less than an inch to the south. All snow should be east of the area by 5 a.m.

Saturday will be mostly cloudy, with highs in the mid 30s (3 degrees Celsius). Northwest wind will become west later in the day, at 3 to 7 mph.

Snow develops Saturday night, and continues into Sunday. This initially looks like a 1 to 2 inch snowfall. Highs in the mid 30s (3 degrees Celsius).

Outlook for Next Week

I’m happy to report that we won’t be facing any big storms next week! The only meaningful chance for any precipitation is some light snow showers Monday night / Tuesday morning. Aside from that, the week looks dry, with highs generally in the mid 30s (2 to 3 degrees Celsius).

Remember that our average high this time of year is 33 degrees (0.5 degrees Celsius), so we continue the stretch of above average temperatures. However, I am seeing some trends in the long-range models suggesting a transition to a colder pattern by mid-month.

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