4Warn Weather – You often hear meteorologists talk about different weather “models.”
Well, this Friday is another tricky forecast, with some thanks to computer models predicting different outcomes for Metro Detroit. A system is expected to arrive in our area Friday, but the exact type of precipitation we’ll receive is up in the air.
Precipitation type is highly sensitive to the track of the low pressure headed our way and how that dictates the temperatures. Pardon me if you’ve heard this before, but a degree or two difference could have major implications on precipitation type and totals at the end of this week.
I wanted to show you a snapshot of the same time frame (Friday, March 3, at 6 p.m.) comparing four different weather models. This is me being fully transparent that the models are not in complete agreement.
Here are the different models and their predictions:
EURO model
GRAF model
GFS model
NAM model
Uncertain snow totals
These computer models are spitting out significant variations in snow totals for Friday.
Some models show snow totals as low as less than 2 inches, where rain is expected to cut down on the snowfall projections. Other predictions show snow totals as high as 8 inches or more for the models that keep the precipitation as all snow throughout the storm, instead of rain or a wintry mix.
Blending the models together would give us a forecast of around 4 inches of snow accumulation Friday.
Full forecast here: Tracking end-of-the-week snowfall as Metro Detroit stays mostly mild until Friday
Stay with your 4Warn Weather team for updates!
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