Clinton leads Trump by 9.4% in Michigan

61.2% say Trump unqualified to be president, Local 4/Detroit News poll finds

DETROIT – Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 9.4% among likely Michigan voters, according to a Local 4/Detroit News poll conducted after the Republican and Democratic national conventions.

The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted a 600-sample, live operator telephone survey of likely November 2016 Michigan general election voters. The survey was conducted from July 30-August 1, 2016 and has margin of error of +/-4.0% with a 95% level of confidence. 65% of respondents were interviewed by landline telephone. 35% of respondents were interviewed by cell phone telephone.

Clinton led Trump 41% to 31.6% with 14.2% of those surveyed undecided in the survey. Libertarian Gary Johnson got 7.5% support from respondents, while Green candidate Jill Stein received 3.4% of the vote. Six respondents, or 1% of the vote, volunteered they would vote for Bernie Sanders. Sanders was not an option in the survey.

Michigan voters felt Clinton was more qualified to be president than Donald Trump and favored her on major issues. The survey found 57% of Michigan voters felt Clinton was qualified to be president, while 61.2% said Trump was not qualified to be president.

More findings from the survey:

  • Trump's problem with female voters grew. In May 2016, Hillary Clinton led Donald Trump among women by a margin of 46%-30%.  Donald Trump’s problems among female voters has grown with Clinton now holding a 21.2% lead among women.
  • Men are tied. In May 2016, Donald Trump led among male voters by 9.7%, but now the race is statistically even with Trump hanging on to a slim 36.8%-35.4% lead among male voters.
  • Trump's base. Regionally, Donald Trump’s base of strength is the UP/Northern region and Macomb County in Michigan, according to the survey. His people are married Caucasian men who have some advanced education and are not in a union.
  • Clinton's base. Clinton’s bases of strength are Detroit, Wayne County and Oakland County, but she also leads in West Michigan, Southwest Michigan and Southeast Michigan counties due to Gary Johnson's strength in those regions. Her strongest supporters are over the age of 50, people who are also the most likely to vote.
  • Education. Clinton leads among those without a high school diploma and those with a college degree, but Trump leads among those with some college, community college or vocational training.

Graphics below show poll results related to Clinton vs Trump. Come back in the morning for poll results related to voter turnout in November, Gov. Rick Snyder, the state of Detroit's comeback, and Republican Vice Presidential nominee Mike Pence and Democratic VP nominee Tim Kaine.

Poll Results