64ºF

Teddy Expected To Bring Destructive Waves, Heavy Rain And Strong Winds To Portions Of Nova Scotia Today Through Wednesday

Category 2 Hurricane

Tropics Forecast Cone at 9:57 Tuesday Morning, September 22nd
Tropics Forecast Cone at 9:57 Tuesday Morning, September 22nd

Location 345 miles S of Halifax Nova Scotia
Wind 105 mph
Heading NNW at 16 mph
Pressure 28.06
Coordinates 63.7W, 39.6N

Discussion

At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Teddy was located by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 39.6 North, longitude 63.7 West. Teddy is moving toward the north-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a turn toward the north-northeast is expected by early Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center will move over eastern Nova Scotia on Wednesday, and then near or over Newfoundland by Wednesday night and east of Labrador on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Although some weakening is likely later today and Wednesday, Teddy should be a strong post-tropical cyclone when it moves near and over Nova Scotia.

Teddy is an extremely large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 950 mb (28.06 inches) based on NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft data.

Tropics Satellite at 9:59 Tuesday Morning, September 22nd
Tropics Satellite at 9:59 Tuesday Morning, September 22nd

Watches and Warnings

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for, * South coast of Nova Scotia from Digby to Meat Cove

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for, * Meat Cove to Tidnish Nova Scotia * North of Digby to Fort Lawrence Nova Scotia * Magdalen Islands Quebec * Port aux Basques to Francois Newfoundland * Prince Edward Island

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area.

Interests elsewhere in Atlantic Canada should closely monitor the progress of Teddy. Additional watches and/or warnings could be required later today.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

Tropics Models at 8:10 Tuesday Morning, September 22nd
Tropics Models at 8:10 Tuesday Morning, September 22nd

Land Hazards

Key messages for Teddy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center makes landfall in Nova Scotia. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by very large and destructive waves.

SURF: Large swells generated by Teddy are affecting Bermuda, the Lesser Antilles, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the warning area by this afternoon. Tropical storm conditions could begin in the watch areas late today or early Wednesday.

RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Teddy is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with isolated totals of 6 inches (150 mm) across sections of Atlantic Canada.