FORECASTS

It’s been a nice way to end the week with plenty of sunshine and seasonal temperatures after days of heat and humidity working throughout last week. We will keep the comfortable weather in the forecast as we had through the overnight hours tonight. Expect mainly clear skies overnight tonight, most everyone dropping into the upper 50s heading into Saturday morning.

It was a tad bit warmer this Wednesday, with highs topping out in the low 80s. But another cold front swings through overnight, ushering a secondary shot of cool, dry air.

It was a tad bit warmer this Wednesday, with highs topping out in the low 80s. But another cold front swings through overnight, ushering a secondary shot of cool, dry air.

Finally some relief from the humidity.

Finally some relief from the humidity!

Finally some relief from the humidity!

Finally some relief from the humidity! But first we have to get through some showers and thunderstorms this evening, and the potential for some heavy rain. A slow moving cold front will continue to push through the area over the next several hours. The ground is still pretty saturated from Sunday’s rain, so there is a potential for localized flooding. Storms chances end as we head towards midnight.

The end of the work-week is wrapping on a great note, and leading into a spectacular weekend.

After a stormy start to our Thursday with showers and thunderstorms, some of them leaving some damage behind over portions of southeastern Michigan this morning, we are dealing with more heat for yet another day.

A line of showers and thunderstorms will cross the Thumb region through early evening, but the rest of us won’t get a drop.

The next batch of rain is on the move, and most of it will fall during the overnight hours.

Showers and thunderstorm chances continue off and on through the evening hours.

Sunday evening will be cooler under fair skies. Temps fall to the 50s by sunset and afterward.

While there are a few lake enhanced snow showers out there today, most of our day is looking dry and pretty bright with sunshine busting through some of these morning clouds and high temperatures later today will only make it into the lower to maybe middle 30s.

Higher temps arrive mid-week after and during icy and wet weather.

We may see some faint cloud breaks this morning leading to a few glimpses of patchy blue skies, but the clouds will increase and thicken throughout the morning as a rain maker tries to move our way.

After springing forward one hour, getting some snow and feeling some sunshine, this evening will be chilly with some clouds overhead.

Winter is clearly not done with Detroit, yet. Tonight will be frigid as we “Spring Forward” one hour, and more snow arrives in the morning. As soon as flakes stop falling, temps rise above freezing. More melting is likely early next week with milder conditions.

We have a mix of sun, clouds and snow this evening. Snowflakes will fade as it gets darker, and it becomes more frigid again.

Break out the shorts, and then put them away again -- it’s one of those March weekends in Metro Detroit.

It’s a mild start to the month with temps in the low to mid 30s if you’re just getting up and getting going.

Temperatures have continued to warm this Tuesday morning for most of SE Lower Michigan as rounds of rain keep moving our way from the south.

Rounds of very light snow have been moving through overnight and that will create some slick spots on the roads especially through Oakland and Macomb counties early on your Tuesday morning. Most of our roads are in pretty good shape but watch out for some slick spots and take it easy out there. Temperatures are in the lower 20s and with a bit of a breeze, it feels like it’s in the lower teens and you’ll need to dress for those teens. We are hoping for some sunshine today but we will have to be patient.

The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Watch for Wednesday and Thursday for all of Metro Detroit.

Before getting to the forecast, I want to first mention something about yesterday’s forecast for today.

The weather pattern through Saturday will be one of scattered, very light showers of either rain or snow. But what comes in on Sunday won’t be scattered, and may not be light.

We’ll start our Finally Friday with mostly sunny skies, and temperatures will race up into the low 50s (11 degrees Celsius) by early afternoon, then level off and even fall as clouds move in.

As expected, lingering cloud cover this morning eroded this afternoon, and we’re finishing the day with plenty of sunshine in most areas.

It was another chilly day out there, with wind chills by mid-afternoon in the mid-to-upper 30s (1 to 4 degrees Celsius) in most areas.

Like Wednesday, highs will struggle to reach 70 degrees (21 degrees Celsius) in the warmest spots. Partly cloudy to mostly sunny on Friday, with highs near 70 degrees (21 degrees Celsius). Partly cloudy Friday night, with lows in the low to mid 50s (12 to 13 degrees Celsius). Highs rebounding into the mid 70s (25 degrees Celsius). Highs in the mid 70s (25 degrees Celsius).

ANN ARBOR, Mich. Faculty members at the University of Michigan are leading two $2.9 million projects to improve solar storm forecasting. The University of Michigan is involved in two projects:The NextGen Space Weather Modeling Framework project, funded by NSF, aims to accurately predict solar storms and coronal mass ejections a full day in advance. And Aether, funded by NASA, aims to improve models of Earths upper atmosphere. Other than a pandemic, a space weather-caused disruption is the only natural threat that would have nationwide impacts, said Gabor Toth, U-M research professor of climate and space sciences and engineering and principal investigator on the space weather modeling framework project. If we know what to expect and when, most consequences of space weather can be avoided.

DETROIT Today will be our third consecutive day with a severe storm threat, and the Storm Prediction Center has us in the risk area both Thursday and Friday as well. Now, having a RISK of severe storms does not always translate into GETTING those storms. Warm and muggy Wednesday night, with oppressively warm lows in the low to mid 70s (22 to 23 degrees Celsius). Highs near 80 degrees (27 degrees Celsius), and youll notice the drier air coming in during the afternoon! Becoming mostly clear Saturday night, with very comfortable lows in the mid 50s (13 to 14 degrees Celsius).

So it is with a great deal of concern that I share with you this years Atlantic hurricane outlook, and its bad news. Broken down into simple statistics, the NHC outlook calls for a 60% chance for an above average season, a 30% chance for an average season, and only a 10% chance for a below average season. If this outlook pans out, then the 2020 hurricane season will set a record as our fifth consecutive season with above-average hurricane activity. More specifically, the 2020 outlook suggests:13-19 names storms (average is 12)6-10 hurricanes (average is 6)3-6 major hurricanes (average is 3)It is important to emphasize that the outlook only predicts actual storms, and not WHERE they will go. Since wind shear is detrimental to tropical cyclones, neutral or La Nina conditions favor Atlantic hurricane development.